Ankara’s Somalia gamble

Somalia’s President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud.

Photo credit: Reuters

In May, I argued here that Türkiye’s engagement in Somalia was becoming tied to the governing network around Villa Somalia. Developments in Southwest sharpen the question. How much authority can foreign military support sustain when the political settlement beneath it is breaking apart?

Local sources reported troops surrendering in Qansaxdheere or withdrawing into an Ethiopian camp. Government forces subsequently retreated from Buurhakaba after fighting on October 15. Reports from Awdiinle described federal and allied troops withdrawing towards Baidoa, followed by groups of residents welcoming Laftagareen’s Darwish forces.