Motorists queue at a TotalEnergies station in Nairobi ahead of a fuel price hike as global disruptions linked to the US–Israel–Iran conflict drive costs higher on May 14, 2026.
Warnings of costly shipments in the coming months and depletion of the subsidy kitty mean there is a risk that diesel prices could breach the Sh300-a-litre mark, ushering in pain for businesses and households in the form of record inflation.
Government officials and oil marketers anticipate that local pump prices will continue to rise as the energy crisis in the Middle East drags on and due to reduced cash in the Petroleum Development Levy fund.
