How Middle East tensions test Africa’s fragile airline recovery

Cargo is offloaded from a plane that arrived at Eldoret International Airport, Uasin Gishu County, from the Middle East on March 14, 2024.

Photo credit: File | Nation Media Group

African airlines entered 2026 with strong passenger and cargo growth, but escalating tensions in the Middle East now threaten key trade routes, freight flows and already fragile airline profit margins.

The sudden outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East on February 28 has cast a cloud of uncertainty into an aviation sector that already operates on some of the thinnest margins and highest operating costs in the global airline industry.