Great power wars rarely reach Africa through armies or alliances, yet their effects arrive quickly through the arteries of trade. As risk premiums rise, oil tightens and freight costs climb as insurers reprice exposure. Shipping companies adjust routes to avoid danger zones.
Airlines extend flight paths. Delivery schedules stretch under pressure. Prices move ahead of policy. Markets adjust in real time, institutions respond later, and the lag is where external shocks become domestic pressure.
