Don’t be fooled by early US vote counts: They might be misleading
A person votes at PS 20 Anna Silver Elementary School, on Election Day for the 2024 US presidential election in Manhattan, New York City, US, November 5, 2024.
Early vote returns in US battleground states may not be a good indicator of whether Democratic candidate Kamala Harris or Republican rival Donald Trump will win, experts say, thanks to vote counting rules and quirks in several key states.
In the 2020 election, some states showed a "red mirage," in which Trump was leading on election night, before a "blue shift" saw Democrat Joe Biden overtake him as mail-in ballots favored by more Democratic voters were counted.
