Big split in Sudan civilian coalition risks peace efforts

Sudan’s former Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok arrives for peace talks at the Juba International Airport in South Sudan on September 12, 2019.

Photo credit: Reuters

Divisions within Taqaddum movement, a grouping of Sudan’s pro-civilian societies, have weakened the push for peace in the strife-hit country, with two factions taking divergent stances on the nation's future.

Former prime minister Abdalla Hamdok leads the coalition advocating ending the war through peaceful means and fostering Sudanese unity while another faction is working toward establishing a new government in areas controlled by the Rapid Support Forces, reinforcing the notion of a political wing for the RSF.

This schisim reflects the growing polarisation within Sudan's political landscape, with one side seeking dialogue and consensus, and the other leaning towards creating a new political reality under RSF-controlled territories.

The root of this split stems from differing priorities for the next phase, along with regional and international influences. Reports suggest that some foreign forces support efforts to form a government in RSF-controlled areas, while others are cautious, preferring to back Hamdok’s political path.

Amid these challenges, Hamdok, leader of the Civil Democratic Coalition for the Forces of the Revolution (Somod), continues his diplomatic efforts.

On the sidelines of the African Union Summit in Addis Ababa, he met with Kenyan President William Ruto as part of a series of engagements with African and global leaders.

The meeting focused on ongoing crisis in Sudan, particularly the escalating humanitarian disaster and the urgent need for African-led efforts to end the war.

The Somod delegation emphasised the importance of concrete African Union resolutions that support the peace process and alleviate the suffering of Sudanese civilians.

President Ruto reaffirmed his personal interest in Sudan situation and his commitment to supporting peace efforts and addressing the war consequences.

The division within Taqaddum presents a major challenge for civilian forces striving to unify their ranks.

Meanwhile, the Sudanese Armed Forces remain steadfast in their refusal to recognise any authority outside the official state structure.

At the same time, various political actors are attempting to maintain balanced relations with different parties. If these splits persist, they could weaken the negotiating position of civilian forces and allow military actors to boost their political influence, complicating bid for a peaceful resolution.

As the conflict drags on, attention is now focused on whether civilian forces can overcome their differences and unite to address the crisis or if continued fragmentation will grant military actors greater leverage to reshape Sudan political landscape according to the current balance of power.